大久保被告、突然の方針転換 保釈狙いの"戦略"か（産経ニュース 2009.3.26 01:39）
小沢一郎民主党代表の資金管理団体「陸山会」の政治資金規正法違反事件で、起訴された陸山会の会計責任者で小沢氏の公設第１秘書、大久保隆規被告（４７）が、起訴事実をおおむね認めた。
「起訴事実をおおむね認めた。」というのはミスリードになるように思います。
この産経の報道と同様の読売の報道について、小倉秀夫弁護士が言及されていますが、
このように「起訴事実の一部を認めている」と一口に言っても，どの事実を認めているのかによって実際のニュアンスは全く異なります。
という指摘は正しいと思います。
産経は「起訴事実をおおむね認めた。」と書いていますが、これを読んだ素人の方は、「大久保被告は罪を認めたのか。」と思うのではないでしょうか。
しかし、「起訴状に書かれているいくつかの事実を認める。」ということと「起訴された犯罪の成立を認める。」ということは全く別問題です。
起訴後の小沢氏の発言などから想像しますと、大久保被告は依然として犯罪の成立は争っているのではないかと思われます。
では、起訴状に書かれている事実のいくつかを認めたとして、何故認めたのかが興味を引くと思われます。
産経の記事でも、いくつかのパターンが述べられています。但し、いずれも憶測です。
私も、少し憶測してみます。
見出しには「保釈狙いの"戦略"か」と書かれていますが、これは一番可能性が低い想定ではないでしょうか。
大久保被告は、事実のいくつかを認めていると言っても、犯罪の成立を争う以上は、検察の立証の中核となる核心的な事実（それが何かは今のところ不明）については否認していると見るのが自然です。
そうだとすると、裁判官が現時点で保釈を認める可能性は限りなく低いように思われます。
もし、保釈が認められたら、大久保被告は事実関係の大部分を認めている可能性が高くなります。
そしてもしそうであれば、弁護団の方針は、法律解釈をメインに争うと考えていることが想像されます。
しかし、この戦略は裁判上も相当リスクが大きいですし、政治的にもその可能性は低いのではないかと思います。
となると、モトケン的想像としては、動かぬ物証があって否認しても通りそうにない事実は認め、そうでない事実については争い、被告人の主張する事実の全体像をもとに法律解釈的無罪を主張する、ということではないかと思っています。
動かぬ証拠に反する否認供述をすると、裁判官に被告人の供述全体の信用性について疑問を投げかけられる恐れがありますから、認めるべきは認め、否認すべきは否認して、被告人の供述全体の信用性を確保する方針なのではないでしょうか。
検察捜査の評価に当たっては、今後の公判の推移を見ていくことが重要だと思いますが、公判前整理手続に付されることは確実でしょうから、第１回公判がいつになるのか見当がつきません。
追記
小沢氏秘書、違法献金認める供述 便宜供与は否定（asahi.com 2009年3月26日15時3分）
大久保秘書は、二つの政治団体を経由させる献金の割り振りを西松建設と協議して決めていたことや、同団体がダミーとの認識があったことなどを供述しているという。
この報道が本当なら、政治資金規正法違反については限りなく自白してるっぽいですね。
便宜供与だけは否認しているようですが、じゃ西松建設はなぜ違法な献金を続けていたんだ、という素朴な疑問は払拭されません。
民主党の対応ともちぐはぐな感じが否めません。
意思疎通ができてるんでしょうか？
いずれにしても、もう少し様子を見る必要があるようです。
さらに追記
小沢氏秘書、起訴事実は否認＝弁護人「認める報道、異なる」－西松献金（3月27日18時11分配信 時事通信）
弁護人が27日、「大久保被告が起訴事実について、大筋を認めている報道がなされているが、弁護人らの認識は全く異なっている」とするコメントを発表した。 関係者によると、同被告は逮捕当初から、「政治資金収支報告書の虚偽記入には当たらない」などと一貫して主張しており、起訴事実についても否定しているとみられる。
あれま、弁護人から反論コメントが出てきました。
こうなると裁判が始まるまで何がなにやら分かりませんね。
完全に同感です。
で、これは完全に素人の憶測ですが、主戦場は西松の拵えた“迂回システム”についての知情性になる気がします。
「西松にお願いしたのは金額だけ。耳そろえて献金続けるために違法な手段を取るとまでは思っていなかった」「迂回システムの内実は知らなかった」云々。
小沢代表が会見で（涙ながらに？）語った（騙った？）「お金をくれた人の名前さえ書いておけばいいと考えた」云々というような、消極的な“法律解釈の誤解”という弁解は、多分しないんじゃないかと想像してます。
それ認めちゃったら「迂回してたの知ってました」って言うも同然ですもん。
追記しました。
およよ・・・新聞記事から見る限りは落ちちゃってるくさいですね。でもカギカッコではなんて言ってるんだろう？
ひとことで「西松からのカネと知っていた」と要約してあったとしても、例えば献金主ＡやＢが「弊団体からの献金は、西松からのものとお考えください」的な説明でいたとしたなら。
「受け取る側はカネの出元まで詮索しない」という小沢氏の一般論を是とするならば、少なくとも外形的（もしくは建前論的）には違法な迂回献金の内実を承知の上でカネを受け取っていたとまでは言い得ないのではないか。
私の想定している被告人の突っ張り方というのは、大体そんな感じです。
こんなのもあります。
http://headlines.yahoo.co.jp/hl?a=20090327-00000122-jij-pol
なぜこんなことが起こるのでしょうかね。元の報道の関係者の話というのはいったいなんなんだろう。
本文に追記して紹介させていただきました。
＞なぜこんなことが起こるのでしょうかね。
どこかで何かが間違ってるんですね。
今のところ、どこだか断言できませんが。
今回の件って収支報告書の虚偽記載という事なんですが、例えば政治団体ではなく、この場合西松建設って記入すればよかったという事なのでしょうか？
でも、その実際の献金を受けた政治団体を明記しなかったら、それはそれで虚偽になったりはしないのでしょうか。
もし迂回献金とかが問題なら、それに対応する法と言う物はないのですか？
なんかこうスマートじゃないというか、しっくりしない気がしたので・・・
素人感想ですが、24日の秘書起訴を受けたすぐ後、小沢氏側からは、党首続投の意向の報道が成され始め、昨日、衆参両議院の前で続投宣言をしました。
そのような流れの中で、「起訴事実をおおむね認めた。」というリークが有ったことは、私としては信じられないことでした。
秘書の方には当然弁護士さんが付いていて、その方を通して、起訴後の展開（争い）は小沢氏へ伝えられているんではないのかなと、その事を踏まえた上での、小沢氏党首続投の決断が今の段階ではされたんだろうと思っていましたので（小沢氏自身が戦える確信を持った？）、うらぶれ内科様のご紹介記事には納得が出来るものでした。
誰が最初に検挙されるかは、時間の問題だった可能性は否定できませんが、もっと質の悪い二階などが追求を逃れているのが不思議でなりません。
方や権限のない野党議員、方や与党で、経済産業省の現役大臣です。
小沢氏の辞任追求と同じ勢いで、大臣辞任をメディアが報道しないといけないと思いますが、今日もNHKが小沢批判の自民党議員のコメントを長々と流していました。
こんなのアリだとすると、マスコミの恣意性が投票行動を左右しそうです。
私は二階などの自民党の腐敗の方が根深いと考えます
今の報道は、国民への目くらましです。
世間で注目されている事件で起訴時に容疑を認めているか認めていないか報道しない場合というのをほとんど見たことはないですね。だから普通の事なんじゃないですか。
また、私が政治家の秘書に、「東京都の木村拓哉です。」と言って手渡しで献金しても普通に私の本名で記載されると思いますよ。実態の方を記載するのが普通の対応だと思います。
また、ホテルのバーで飲んでるとか、漢字を誤読したといって野党議員の批判を長々と流しているのがありならば、この件の報道なんで至極普通ですよね。
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Esta informacion es la que esta buscando un compañero de trabajo mio, se lo hare llegar para que lo lea. Gracias!
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:*` i am always fond of reading topics and issues about this one `,*
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